Gold And Stocks Rally – Pullback Imminent?

by Dow Futures Live on April 22, 2011

Gold And Stocks Rally – Is A Pullback Imminent?

April 20th, 2011

It has been a very interesting week thus far. Monday kick started traders with a heart pounding equities sell off which sent money into the US Dollar, precious metals and bonds as the safe havens of choice.

A lot has happened this week on a technical analysis basis which I can’t really show in a written report like this. But can do so in detail within my video newsletter. There are just to many charts required and layers of analysis to cover… But I can cover some of the points and my thoughts using the charts below:


SPY 30 minute Intraday Analysis

SPY 30 Minute Intraday Chart
This chart shows the volume traded at various price levels for the SP500 index. These high volume levels act as support or resistance depending if you are above or below them. On Wednesday we had large gap higher into a resistance level which the market could not break through. So I am expecting to see the market take a pause and fade back down to fill part or all of Wednesday’s gap window.

While most gaps tend to get filled. Gaps that occur right at the beginning of a new trend when momentum is strong. They generally do not fill all the way down to the bottom. I expect a couple days of sideways to lower price action. Buyers should step back in and send the market higher next week if this trend is to continue.
SPY11 Gold And Stocks Rally   Pullback Imminent?


GDX Stock Chart

GDX – Gold Miner Stocks – Daily Chart
Gold stocks have been underperforming the price of gold bullion for several months. This typically is not a strong sign for physical gold prices. That being said I do feel the majority of investors are seeking true safety and want to own real gold and not some highly leveraged gold stock. This to me is more of a risk off trade for global investors and it explains the performance.

From the recent price action shown on the GDX chart I am expecting to see prices trade sideways or lower in the coming days. A sideways move would actually be bullish and would signal a possible breakout to upside. So that is what I am hoping will unfold in the coming days/weeks.
Gold2 Gold And Stocks Rally   Pullback Imminent?


US Dollar Chart


US Dollar Daily Chart

The dollar continues to get sold at a tremendous rate and the Fed is devaluing the currency as quickly as they can trying and save the world one dollar at a time…
The trend is strongly down but it’s starting to near a point where we should start to keep a closer eye on it for signs of a reversal to the upside. When the dollar makes a move higher and starts a rally it will put downward pressure on stocks and commodities. We must be prepared to move our protective stops ups and possibly take advantage of falling prices in the near future. Until then remain long equities and commodities.
Dollar3 Gold And Stocks Rally   Pullback Imminent?

Mid-Week Trend Conclusion:
In short, it looks as though stocks and commodities are in favor again. Monday’s panic sell off looks to have shaken the masses out of the market and the big money players were buying up all the shares they could. Members and myself are sitting nicely in our long positions and this could be the start of something exciting.

You can get my Pre-Market Trading Analysis Videos, Intraday Chart Updates and Trade Alerts with my Premium Newsletter: http://www.thegoldandoilguy.com/free-preview.php

Chris Vermeulen

NOTE: Chris Vermeulen is a experienced trader in the commodities markets. His analysis of  commodities are in-depth and insightful

 

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Panic Selling In The Markets

by Dow Futures Live on April 18, 2011

USD Up, Equity Markets Down

In overnight and pre-market trading the US Dollar posted a strong rally which in turn caused a sharp selloff in the equities market. The market is currently down 1.6 – 2.3% depending on the index traders are following.

Here is what I see on the charts going forward a few days.

Click Here To See The Panic Selling

Take Short Or Long Positions?

Today’s sharp drop in equities could be an excellent low risk opportunity to add or take a long position here because most of the downside fear for the short term has been eliminated today.

That being said the short term trend trend appears to be down on the SP500 now so at this time I am looking to sell into a rally if we get one in the next 2-3 days

Click Here To See The Equities Charts

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Washington’s Dirty Little Secret – The US Dollar

by Dow Futures Live on April 13, 2011

Washington’s dirty little secret they don’t want you to know about

This is a rant by Adam Hewison, CEO of Marketclub, Premier Stock Trading Service.
April 13, 2011 by Adam
Filed under: General

Have you filled up the gas tank lately?

If you have then you know it is a pain at the pump for everybody in America. But the real pain is something most middle Americans don’t even know about, and I’m not even talking about the 47% of the country that does not pay taxes. No, I’m talking about the people who do pay taxes and work their butts off to make a living.

Like a lot of Americans, I am not a happy camper and I am not happy with the incredible misdirection this country is going in with its spend, spend, spend policies. I’m not sure what its like in your house, but in mine if we can afford something, we can afford something, but we don’t have the luxury of printing money by the truckload to spend beyond our means. The main problem is, these spending policies are only going to further weaken our economy.

This afternoon Pres. Obama is to make a speech explaining how we’re supposed to get out of this mess – or how it is often described by this current White House – “potential financial Armageddon.” In my opinion if there are not significant spending cuts, we’re going to see a lot of pressure on the market. Unfortunately I think this speech will probably be long on rhetoric and short on details. That seems to be the style in Washington these days.

Okay I promised you the dirty little secret that Washington doesn’t want you to know about and here goes… Now most of you reading this blog are pretty sophisticated, far more than the general public, but the reality is that we keep debasing currency and this is why commodities and why oil to a large part are going up in pricing. Yes, I know about the Middle East and all the problems there and it certainly is a factor that cannot be ignored. However, we are seeing the demand from around the world.

The world has changed and we unfortunately still believe we are the crème de la crème superpower and leaders of the free world when in fact, things have shifted subtly and ever so stealthily to Asia. You cannot expect all the jobs in a country to be exported and still have a strong economy. That’s what many corporations did here in the US simply because it was more profitable to do business overseas and not deal with all of the regulations that keep getting more and more onerous in this country.

So okay I know this is a rant, but quite frankly I think it is reflective of a lot of thinking out there in terms of being frustrated, angry, and just plain mad at the lack of real leadership. What bothers me more than anything else is the fact that the politicians are only interested in one thing and it’s not the country. They may say it’s the country, but in reality it’s getting re-elected that really matters to them. This is not what this country needs nor wants at the present time. We are living in a very, very competitive world and unless we have some idea of what we’re doing and how to do it, we will be subjected to more and more pressure on the dollar and therefore on our lifestyles.

Here’s an idea that has been kicked around for a long time, but never seems to get any traction. Why not just do away with all of the so-called tax benefits like home mortgages and such and just have a simple flat tax? If you’re an entrepreneur in a country that was built on entrepreneurship, you need to know what the tax basis can be and what you’re going to face in the future. If everyone just paid a flat tax no matter how little or how much money you had, I would consider that to be a fair system. Why should you be penalized for being successful? It’s insane!

Now I’m lucky – if you can call years of hard work, luck. I can afford to pay higher taxes, but the reality is why should I pay higher taxes when up to 47% of the country pays no taxes? I came to this country from England because of a tax policy that offered no incentive for anyone to get ahead. I came here when most Americans used to save money, most Americans had a job, and most Americans felt good about the future.

Fast-forward a generation and you see what has happened. We exported millions of jobs and now we have no choice but to buy countless goods from the countries that actually have the factories to produce these items. Yes, I know there are a few exceptions such as the automobile industry, Caterpillar, and a few others that have kept jobs in the country, but the reality is that we’ve given away so much and gotten so little in return.

It’s time to make a stand and make some hard decisions. The entitlement mentality is insane and everyone knows that there is no money. Period. If you print more money to pay for these entitlements and further debase the currency this will just force a further push upward in the price of gasoline and also other necessary goods like food. It’s interesting to me that they come out and say, well the inflation index isn’t bad, but how can they say that when they leave out these two crucial elements?

Okay, that’s it. I’ve said enough and you know where I stand on the subject, but now I want to welcome your comments – either pro or against. One thing we still have going for us is that this is still a country of free speech and free markets.

NOTE by Admin – In short, this is about the debasing of the US dollar and how Americans will all be poorer in the long run…..what do you think?

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dollar Weakens As Oil Goes Higher

by Dow Futures Live on April 10, 2011

Oil sentiment became bullish over Arab world unrest and postponed Nigerian elections. U. S. crude was at a 30-month high at $112. 79 ($2. 49). The possibility of U. S. government shutdown put a pressure on the dollar during a standoff between the White House and Congress in coming up with… – Source

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Gold or Silver – Which To Buy Now?

by Dow Futures Live on April 5, 2011

Gold or Silver – 2 Indicators Show Which Metal To Buy

Here is a simple question for you: which would you rather buy right now,
gold or silver?

Gold has incredible amounts of emotional baggage attached to it, while
silver is in a different league – at least for the moment. This video
will show you two indicators that can help you capture either market
when and if the upward trend decides to resume.

With all of the world’s troubles, there are plenty of reasons why one
would think that both of these markets should be much higher. The
question is, why aren’t they? I think that the video you’re about to
watch will help answer some of those questions.

http://www.ino.com/info/686/CD570/&dp=0&l=0&campaignid=3

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PLEASE RATE & COMMENT ON THIS VIDEO! JOIN US TOMORROW IN OUR LIVE TRADE ROOM, OPENS @ 245AM (EST), HERES HOW: www.youtube.com

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PLEASE RATE & COMMENT ON THIS VIDEO! JOIN US TOMORROW IN OUR LIVE TRADE ROOM, OPENS @ 245AM (EST), HERES HOW: www.youtube.com

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PLEASE RATE & COMMENT ON THIS VIDEO! JOIN US TOMORROW IN OUR LIVE TRADE ROOM, OPENS @ 245AM (EST), HERES HOW: www.youtube.com

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PLEASE RATE & COMMENT ON THIS VIDEO! JOIN US TOMORROW IN OUR LIVE TRADE ROOM, OPENS @ 245AM (EST), HERES HOW: www.youtube.com

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PLEASE RATE & COMMENT ON THIS VIDEO! JOIN US TOMORROW IN OUR LIVE TRADE ROOM, OPENS @ 245AM (EST), HERES HOW: www.youtube.com

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